Baylor
W-L: ( 4- 8) PR = 73.3545Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 829 H Auburn SEC ( 5- 7, 82.3) 24-38 906 A SMU ACC ( 8- 4, 83.7) 48-45 913 H Samford 42- 7 920 H Arizona St B12 ( 8- 5, 80.6) 24-27 927 A Oklahoma St B12 ( 2-10, 66.8) 27-45 1004 H Kansas St B12 ( 6- 5, 82.6) 35-34 1018 A TCU B12 ( 9- 4, 84.0) 36-42 1025 A Cincinnati B12 ( 7- 5, 77.6) 20-41 1101 H UCF B12 ( 4- 8, 70.0) 30- 3 1115 H Utah B12 (11- 2, 90.0) 28-55 1122 A Arizona B12 ( 9- 3, 84.6) 17-41 1129 H Houston B12 (10- 3, 80.5) 24-31
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
829 H Auburn 24-38 -14 -4 --- -10.34
906 A SMU 48-45 3 -16 +++ 17.00
920 H Arizona St 24-27 -3 -2 -0.97
927 A Oklahoma St 27-45 -18 1 --- -15.33
1004 H Kansas St 35-34 1 -4 ++ 5.02
1018 A TCU 36-42 -6 -16 +++ 8.00
1025 A Cincinnati 20-41 -21 -10 -- -4.48
1101 H UCF 30- 3 27 9 ++ 5.38
1115 H Utah 28-55 -27 -11 - -2.57
1122 A Arizona 17-41 -24 -17 0.00
1129 H Houston 24-31 -7 -2 -- -5.16
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 829 H Auburn 24-38 -14 -4 --- -10.34 927 A Oklahoma St 27-45 -18 1 --- -15.33 1025 A Cincinnati 20-41 -21 -10 -- -4.48 1129 H Houston 24-31 -7 -2 -- -5.16 1115 H Utah 28-55 -27 -11 - -2.57 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 906 A SMU 48-45 3 -16 +++ 17.00 1018 A TCU 36-42 -6 -16 +++ 8.00 1004 H Kansas St 35-34 1 -4 ++ 5.02 1101 H UCF 30- 3 27 9 ++ 5.38 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Auburn ( 5- 7, 82.3) 24-38 -17.63 33.59 -5.26 1.16 -13.27
3 A SMU ( 8- 4, 83.7) 48-45 -16.22 35.00 5.26 1.16 93.32
3 H Arizona St ( 8- 5, 80.6) 24-27 -19.26 31.96 -5.26 1.16 -14.21
3 A Oklahoma St ( 2-10, 66.8) 27-45 -33.14 18.08 5.26 1.16 -16.16
3 H Kansas St ( 6- 5, 82.6) 35-34 -17.27 33.95 -5.26 1.16 66.51
3 A TCU ( 9- 4, 84.0) 36-42 -15.93 35.29 5.26 1.16 -6.18
3 A Cincinnati ( 7- 5, 77.6) 20-41 -22.28 28.94 5.26 1.16 -9.86
3 H UCF ( 4- 8, 70.0) 30- 3 -29.91 21.31 -5.26 1.16 37.22
3 H Utah (11- 2, 90.0) 28-55 -9.86 41.36 -5.26 1.16 -8.76
3 A Arizona ( 9- 3, 84.6) 17-41 -15.27 35.95 5.26 1.16 -5.80
3 H Houston (10- 3, 80.5) 24-31 -19.45 31.77 -5.26 1.16 -14.32
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108.49
|
winning pts = 197.0531 losing points = -88.5619
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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